Blending convective scale numerical weather prediction with ensemble nowcasting

Developing and testing a new method that produces improved rainfall forecasts to help our prediction of flood events.

• From: Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management Research and Development Programme and Environment Agency
• Published: 21 February 2021

• Category: Understanding risks from all sources of flooding
• Topics: Flood forecasting, Meteorology, Modelling, Understanding physical processes
• Project status: Completed
• Project code: SC070008
• Date of completion: 31 December 2010

Documents

External link: Met Office research library

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Details

This project developed a method for blending storm scale Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) forecasts with an Ensemble Nowcasting system. It tested whether the new approach has the capability to produce improved rainfall forecasts for flood prediction.

The project started in 2007 and was completed in 2010.

Published 21 February 2021