Business Critical Models in the Cabinet Office
Published 31 October 2024
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A list of all business critical models held within the Cabinet Office, as of October 2024.
The Macpherson Review of quality assurance of government analytical models classed a model as business critical where:
- The model or its outputs are used to inform essential financial and funding decisions;
- Or the model is essential to achievement of business plan actions and priorities;
- Or there is a high risk of damage to Cabinet Office if the model is used and then subsequently found to have an error (e.g. serious reputational, financial or legal consequences)
| Model name | Type of Model | Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Civil Service Pension Costs Model | Cost Estimation | The model is used to estimate the fiscal cost of civil service pensions and the cost of potential pension changes |
| Government Property Agency (GPA) Benefits Calculator | Financial Evaluation | The model is used to evaluate the GPA’s capital projects, including new hubs, renovations and portfolio planning. The model includes cash and non-cash costs and benefits, and the results feed into the financial and economic cases of GPA business cases. |
| Register of British Interests (RBI) | Evaluation | The RBI is a composite of measurable factors that matter to the UK. |
| National Security Risk Assessment (NSRA) | Science-Based Model | The National Security Risk Assessment (NSRA) is the government’s assessment of the most serious risks facing the United Kingdom. An external version of the NSRA is published on GOV.UK as the National Risk Register. |
| Infrastructure Model | Discrete Simulation Model | The model is used to determine the infrastructure requirements for Border Control Points, where documentary and physical checks of goods being imported into the UK are made. |
| Border Target Operating Model (BTOM) Cost Benefit Analysis | Cost Benefit Model | A cost benefit model used to estimate the cost of complying with the BTOM. |
| Infected Blood Compensation Model | Cost-Estimation | The IBCM calculates the broad cost of providing compensation to victims of the Infected Blood scandal. |
| IBCA Cost Model | Cost-Estimation | The IBCACM calculates the cost of the IBCA programme (excluding compensation payments) and attempts to profile those costs by month. Additionally, it attempts to profile outputs from the Infected Blood Compensation Model (compensation payments) by month. |
| Economic Appraisal Toolkit | Cost Benefit Model | In-house spreadsheet model used to inform economic business cases within CO. This includes options analysis and calculating Net Present Values and Benefit Cost Ratios |