Research and analysis

COVID-19 confirmed deaths in England (to 31 December 2020): report

Updated 28 April 2023

COVID-19 deaths

Public Health England has published national statistics on deaths in people with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 since 29 April 2020. In this report we present the latest data on COVID-19 mortality. Further information on the data series can be found here.

Data sources

Laboratory diagnoses of COVID-19 (pillar 1 and 2) were derived from SGSS cases resident in England.

Fact and date of death were derived from combined sources: NHS England hospital deaths, Office for National Statistics death registrations, PHE HPT direct reporting, DBS tracing of laboratory-confirmed cases.

Definitions

In this report deaths are defined as:

  • a death in a person with a laboratory-confirmed positive COVID-19 test and either died within 60 days of the first specimen date

or

  • died more than 60 days after the first specimen date, only if COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate

This data does not include deaths in people where COVID-19 is suspected but not confirmed by testing (SARS-CoV-2 testing either negative or not done).

This data does not report cause of death, and as such represents deaths in people with COVID-19 and not necessarily caused by COVID-19.

In this report, data is reported to 31 December 2020. The first wave of the epidemic in England is defined as the period up to week 27 (from 30 January to 28 June 2020).

Mortality rate is calculated using 2019 ONS population estimates data.

Age-standardised rates adjust for differences in the age structure of populations. The standard used throughout this report is the European Standard Population 2013.

Limitations

Comparisons between the first wave of the epidemic and the time following this should be interpreted with caution considering:

  • changes in testing coverage and detection rate of COVID-19 infections:
    • the first wave of the epidemic was associated with very limited case detection, therefore with a very limited number of COVID-19 cases being confirmed.
    • due to relatively unconstrained testing laboratory capacity following the first wave of the epidemic, far more cases have been detected and confirmed
  • changes in demographics of infected population
  • changes in the effectiveness of treatment and health systems ability to care for severe COVID-19 cases

COVID-19 mortality rates

Within the period from 30 January to 31 December 2020, 2,280,658 cases of COVID-19 have been detected in England.

In the same period, there have been 72,178 deaths in persons with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, with the first death occurring on 2 March 2020. This represents a mortality rate of 128.2 per 100,000 population.

Data from the first wave of the pandemic (to week 27) and the period of after the first wave (week 27 onwards) covers different lengths of time, therefore, comparisons should consider this.

Table 1. Total number of deaths in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19*†

Cases Deaths†
First Wave (Up to week 27) 242,763 39,005
After First Wave (Week 27 onwards) 2,037,895 33,173
Total* 2,280,658 72,178

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020. Due to continuous data quality improvements, the number of cases may be subject to fluctuations.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

During the epidemic in England:

  • the highest peak recorded in daily deaths was 975 (1.73 per 100,000 population) during the first wave of the epidemic (to week 27)
  • from week 27 we have seen a high of 545 (0.97 per 100,000 population) daily deaths.

Figure 1.a. Number of deaths in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 by date of death*†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 1.b. Number of deaths in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 by date of death, December 2020*†

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate

Age and sex distribution

Mortality rate has been shown to be highest among those aged over 80 (1,513.1 per 100,000 population).

Table 2. Total number of deaths and mortality rate (per 100,000 population) in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by age group†

Age Deaths Mortality rate
<5 10 0.3
5-9 3 0.1
10-19 34 0.5
20-29 110 1.5
30-39 314 4.2
40-49 1,017 14.3
50-59 3,239 42.7
60-69 7,381 124.9
70-79 17,144 363.2
80+ 42,926 1,513.1
Total 72,178 128.2

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Overall, 40,498 (145.5 per 100,000) deaths have occurred in males and 31,679 (111.3 per 100,000) in females.

Table 3. Total number of deaths and mortality rate (per 100,000 population) in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by sex*†

Sex Deaths Mortality rate
Female 31,679 111.3
Male 40,498 145.5

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 2.a. Mortality rate in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by age and sex*†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 2.b. Mortality rate in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 (up to week 27), by age and sex*†

*Data is presented up to week 27 (from 30 January to 28 June 2020).

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 2.c. Mortality rate in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 from week 27 onwards, by age and sex*†

Note: Please note the difference in scale between Figure 2, Figure 2.a. and Figure 2.b.

*Data is presented from week 27 onwards (from 29 June to 31 December 2020).

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 3.a. Seven-day rolling average mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by age group†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 3.b. Seven-day rolling average mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 (in December 2020), by age group†

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Ethnicity

Overall, the age-adjusted mortality rate is highest among those of Other ethnicity (684 per 100,000) followed by those of Black/Black British ethnicity (273 per 100,000). Although 87.5% deaths have been reported among those of white ethnicity, the age-adjusted mortality rate is lowest among those of White ethnicity (126 per 100,000).

Table 4. Total number of deaths and age-adjusted mortality rate (per 100,000 population) in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by ethnicity†*

Ethnic category Deaths Age-adjusted mortality rate
White 63,142 126 (105.0-150.0)
Black / Black British 2,191 273 (241.6-307.4)
Asian / Asian British 4,542 266 (235.0-300.0)
Mixed 350 142 (119.6-167.4)
Other** 1,214 684 (633.7-737.2)
Unknown 739 -
Total 72,178 134 (112.3 - 158.7)

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

**Ethnic categories are based on ONS classifications.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 4.a. Seven-day rolling average mortality count in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by ethnicity*†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 4.b. Seven-day rolling average mortality count in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 (in December 2020)†, by ethnicity

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Regional breakdown

Table 5. Total number of deaths and mortality rate (per 100,000 population) in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by PHE Centre*†

PHE Centre Deaths Mortality rate
East Midlands 6,641 137.3
East of England 7,270 111.8
London 9,437 105.3
North East 4,584 171.7
North West 13,382 182.3
South East 9,040 101.5
South West 3,755 66.8
West Midlands 8,947 150.8
Yorkshire and Humber 8,507 154.6
Unknown 615 -
Total 72,178 128.2

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 5.a. Seven-day rolling average mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by PHE Centre*†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 5.b. Seven-day rolling average mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in December 2020, by PHE Centre†

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 6.a. Mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by upper-tier local authority*†

*Data is presented from 30 January to 31 December 2020.

† Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 6.b. Mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 up to week 27, by upper-tier local authority†

*Data is presented up to week 27 (from 30 January to 28 June 2020).

† Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 6.c Mortality rates in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 from week 27 onwards, by upper-tier local authority†

*Data is presented from week 27 onwards (from 29 June to 31 December 2020).

† Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figures 6a to 6c:

  • to 12 October 2020, incidence rate calculations uses 2019 ONS mid year population estimates
  • contain Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2020
  • contain National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2020

Case fatality risk

Case fatality risk (CFR) describes the risk of death within 60 days of a laboratory-confirmed positive COVID-19 test. Cases diagnosed in the last 60 days were excluded from this analysis due to incomplete follow-up period.

For this report, CFR has been calculated within 60 days of an individual’s first positive specimen. CFR is reported on data from the period of transitioning into mass testing, week 29 (4 May 2020) up to and including the 1 November 2020. Laboratory confirmed deaths are excluded from the CFR calculation if they cannot be linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data held by PHE.

CFR is sensitive to change in:

  • testing coverage and detection rate of COVID-19 infections (Dudel et al., 2020; Wu et al., 2020)
  • demographics of infected population (which can be mitigated by age- and gender-stratification)
  • the effectiveness of treatment and health systems ability to care for severe COVID-19 cases

Table 6. Total number of laboratory-confirmed cases, deaths and CFR in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19*†

Cases Deaths† Case fatality risk (%)
Total* 756,925 17,333 2.3

*Data is presented from the period of transitioning into mass testing, 4 May to 1 November 2020. Figures differ from Table 1 based on CFR calculation inclusion criteria.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Figure 7. Number of laboratory-confirmed cases, deaths and case fatality risk in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, from period of transition to mass testing*†

Note: The time period presented covers a period where there has been improved testing availability, therefore apparent changes in estimated case fatality should be interpreted with caution

Numbers of cases and deaths are stacked by week. Cases are presented by week of specimen date. Deaths are presented by week of death.

*Data from week 19, the start period of the transition to mass testing, to week 39, the last full week of eligible positive case data before 1 November (October 26 2020 to 1 November 2020).

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Table 7a. CFR in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19, by age†

Age category Deaths Cases CFR (%) Lower 95 CI Upper 95 CI
<20 14 130,029 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-29 24 160,271 0.0 0.0 0.0
30-39 72 122,045 0.1 0.0 0.1
40-49 219 105,731 0.2 0.2 0.2
50-59 664 106,261 0.6 0.6 0.7
60-69 1,617 56,454 2.9 2.7 3.0
70-79 4,100 32,392 12.7 12.3 13.1
80+ 10,617 40,360 26.3 25.8 26.8
Total 17,333 756,925 2.3 2.3 2.3

*Data is presented from the period of transitioning into mass testing, 4 May to 1 November 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Table 7.b. CFR in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 (in males), by age†

Age category Deaths Cases CFR (%) Lower 95 CI Upper 95 CI
<20 2 60,595 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-29 15 73,827 0.0 0.0 0.0
30-39 37 56,539 0.1 0.0 0.1
40-49 131 47,509 0.3 0.2 0.3
50-59 425 48,610 0.9 0.8 1.0
60-69 1,045 28,107 3.7 3.5 4.0
70-79 2,522 16,402 15.4 14.8 16.0
80+ 5,167 14,979 34.5 33.6 35.4
Total 9,350 347,616 2.7 2.6 2.7

*Data is presented from 30 January to 1 November 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Table 7.c. CFR in laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 (in females), by age†

Age category Deaths Cases CFR (%) Lower 95 CI Upper 95 CI
<20 12 68,174 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-29 9 85,137 0.0 0.0 0.0
30-39 35 64,676 0.1 0.0 0.1
40-49 88 57,457 0.2 0.1 0.2
50-59 239 56,917 0.4 0.4 0.5
60-69 572 27,858 2.1 1.9 2.2
70-79 1,578 15,667 10.1 9.6 10.6
80+ 5,450 25,038 21.8 21.2 22.4
Total 7,983 402,157 2.0 1.9 2.0

*Data is presented from the period of transitioning into mass testing, 4 May to 1 November 2020.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Report prepared by Public Health England COVID-19 Epidemiology Cell.