Research and analysis

COVID-19 confirmed deaths in England (to 31 January 2022): report

Updated 28 April 2023

COVID-19 deaths

UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA), formerly Public Health England (PHE), has published statistics on deaths in people with positive coronavirus (COVID-19) specimens since 29 April 2020. In this report we present the latest data on COVID-19 mortality.

Read further information on the data series.

Data sources

COVID-19 cases resident in England were identified from the UKHSA Second Generation Surveillance System (SGSS).

Fact and date of death were derived from combined sources: NHS England hospital deaths, Office for National Statistics (ONS) death registrations, UKHSA Health Protection Team direct reporting and Demographic Batch Service tracing of COVID-19 specimens.

Definitions

As of 1 February 2022, UKHSA has begun reporting deaths following COVID-19 re-infections. From this point, reported deaths in people with COVID-19 are considered from the first positive specimen date of the most recent episode of infection, rather than an individual’s first ever positive specimen date.

In this report deaths are defined as a death in a person with a COVID-19 specimen and either:

  • died within 60 days of the first specimen date of the most recent infection or
  • died more than 60 days after the first specimen date of the most recent infection with COVID-19 mentioned on the death certificate

This data does not include deaths in people where COVID-19 is suspected but not confirmed by testing (SARS-CoV-2 PCR either negative or not tested).

This data does not report cause of death, and as such represents all deaths in people with a COVID-19 specimen, not just those caused by COVID-19.

In this report, data is reported from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

Mortality rates are calculated using 2020 ONS population estimates data.

Age-standardised rates adjust for differences in the age structure of populations. The standard used throughout this report is the European Standard Population 2013.

Methods

Mortality rates presented for different time periods have been annualised to enable comparisons. This method involves adjusting the population data used to calculate rates for the time covered, these are expressed as mortality rates per 100,000 population per year. These rates cannot be compared with rates that do not have this adjustment.

Mortality rates by region, local authority, sex, ethnic group, and Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) have been age-standardised to account for the different age distributions within different populations.

All figures displaying mortality rates have been calculated using a 7-day rolling average, to allow for smoothing of fluctuating data.

COVID-19 mortality rates

Within the period 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022, 11,561,049 cases of COVID-19 were detected in England.

In the same period, there have been 53,356 deaths in persons with a COVID-19 specimen. This represents a crude mortality rate of 94 per 100,000 population. From 1 February 2021 onwards, the highest recorded number of daily deaths was 926 deaths on 1 February 2021.

Table 1. Number of cases, deaths and crude mortality rate (per 100,000 population) in positive cases of COVID-19, by month*†

Cases Deaths Crude mortality rate (95% CI)
Feb-21 303,243 16,528 29.2 (28.8 - 29.7)
Mar-21 142,236 5,254 9.3 (9.0 - 9.5)
Apr-21 63,861 1,363 2.4 (2.3 - 2.5)
May-21 65,052 545 1.0 (0.9 - 1.0)
Jun-21 305,078 499 0.9 (0.8 - 1.0)
Jul-21 956,503 1,635 2.9 (2.8 - 3.0)
Aug-21 802,184 3,131 5.5 (5.3 - 5.7)
Sep-21 780,405 3,756 6.6 (6.4 - 6.9)
Oct-21 1,073,687 4,045 7.2 (6.9 - 7.4)
Nov-21 1,029,585 4,230 7.5 (7.3 - 7.7)
Dec-21 2,823,328 4,270 7.6 (7.3 - 7.8)
Jan-22 3,215,887 8,100 14.3 (14.0 - 14.6)

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022. Due to continuous data quality improvements, reported number of cases and deaths may be subject to fluctuations. These numbers represent a snapshot of the number of cases and deaths at the time of report production.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 1. Number of deaths in cases of COVID-19 by date of death, from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Age and sex distribution

Since 1 February 2021, the mortality rate was highest among those aged over 80 (annualised rate of 971 per 100,000 population per year).

Table 2. Number of deaths and annualised mortality rate** (per 100,000 population per year) in cases of COVID-19, by age group†

Age Group Deaths (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Mortality rate** (95% CI) (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Deaths (January 2022) Mortality rate ** (95% CI) (January 2022)
<5 22 0.7 (0.4 - 1.0) <10 1.8 (0.6 - 4.2)
5 - 9 <10 0.2 (0.1 - 0.4) <10 0.7 (0.1 - 2.4)
10 - 19 77 1.2 (0.9 - 1.5) 15 2.7 (1.5 - 4.4)
20 -29 224 3.1 (2.7 - 3.5) 39 6.3 (4.5 - 8.7)
30 - 39 642 8.5 (7.8 - 9.2) 104 16.2 (13.2 - 19.6)
40 - 49 1,491 21.0 (19.9 - 22.0) 186 30.8 (26.5 - 35.5)
50 - 59 3,762 49.3 (47.7 - 50.9) 454 70.0 (63.7 - 76.7)
60 - 69 7,158 119.7 (116.9 - 122.5) 889 175.0 (163.7 - 186.9)
70 - 79 12,245 253.8 (249.4 - 258.4) 1,731 422.5 (402.8 - 442.9)
80+ 27,727 971.0 (959.6 - 982.5) 4,675 1927.6 (1872.7 - 1983.7)

Note: Numbers of deaths fewer than 10 have been excluded to minimise the risk of deductive disclosure.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

From 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022, 50,767 (annualised rate of 119.7 per 100,000 population per year) deaths have occurred in males and 24,093 (77.9 per 100,000 per year) in females.

The mortality rate in both sexes in January 2022 was considerably lower than the average for the total period 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

Table 3. Number of deaths and age-adjusted annualised mortality rate ** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19, by sex†

Sex Deaths (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Deaths (January 2022) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (January 2022)
Female 24,093 77.9 (77.0 - 78.9) 3,697 11.9 (11.5 - 12.2)
Male 29,256 119.7 (118.3 - 121.1) 4,400 18.1 (17.6 - 18.7)

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 2.a. Seven-day rolling average annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population per year) in cases of COVID-19 by age group, from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 2.b. Seven-day rolling average annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by age group, January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 January to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Ethnicity

Overall, the age-adjusted annualised mortality rate from 1 February 2021 onwards was highest among those of Other ethnic groups (annualised rate of 232.5 per 100,000 population per year) followed by those of Black and Black British ethnic groups (annualised rate of 210.9 per 100,000 population per year).

Table 4. Number of deaths and age-adjusted annualised mortality rate* (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19, by ethnicity**†

Ethnic category Deaths (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Deaths (January 2022) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (January 2022)
White 43,557 87.1 (86.3 - 88.0) 6,473 12.9 (12.6 - 13.2)
Black / Black British 1,869 210.9 (200.8 - 221.3) 270 32.4 (28.5 - 36.7)
Asian / Asian British 3,445 176.3 (170.1 - 182.7) 360 19.8 (17.7 - 22.0)
Mixed / Multiple ethnic groups 277 89.8 (78.3 - 102.3) 49 15.7 (11.1 - 21.3)
Other± 488 232.5 (210.4 - 255.8) 52 26.2 (19.0 - 34.8)

*Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

**Ethnic categories are based on ONS classifications.

±The rates in the Other ethnic group are likely to be an overestimate due to the difference in the method of allocating ethnicity codes to the deaths data and the population data used to calculate the rates.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Note: From 6 July 2021, ethnicity data has been updated based on a new method for assigning ethnicity developed by UKHSA which has resulted in a decrease in deaths in ‘other ethnicity’ category. This month’s ethnicity data is not comparable to previous months.

Figure 3.a. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by ethnicity***±, 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022†

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

***Ethnic categories are based on ONS classifications.

±The rates in the Other ethnic group are likely to be an overestimate due to the difference in the method of allocating ethnicity codes to the cases data and the population data used to calculate the rates.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Note: From 6 July 2021, ethnicity data has been updated based on a new method for assigning ethnicity developed by UKHSA which has resulted in a decrease in deaths in ‘other ethnicity’ category. This month’s ethnicity data is not comparable to previous months.

Figure 3.b. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by ethnicity***±, January 2022†

*Data is presented from 1 January to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

±The rates in the Other ethnic group are likely to be an overestimate due to the difference in the method of allocating ethnicity codes to the cases data and the population data used to calculate the rates.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Note: From 6 July 2021, ethnicity data has been updated based on a new method for assigning ethnicity developed by UKHSA which has resulted in a decrease in deaths in ‘other ethnicity’ category. This month’s ethnicity data is not comparable to previous months.

Deprivation

Relative deprivation was assessed using quintiles of the IMD linked to residential lower super output area, with IMD 1 representing the most deprived. Overall, from 1 February 2021, the age-adjusted annualised mortality rate was highest among those living in the most deprived areas, with a gradual decrease in mortality rate seen with decreasing deprivation.

In January 2022, the age-adjusted annualised mortality rate was highest among those living in areas of IMD quintile 1, and the lowest mortality rate was seen among those in the least deprived quintile, quintile 5.

Table 5. Number of deaths and age-adjusted annualised mortality rate** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19, by IMD quintile†

IMD Quintile (1 most deprived) Deaths (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Deaths (January 2022) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (January 2022)
1 13,489 164.5 (161.7 - 167.3) 2,059 25.3 (24.2 - 26.4)
2 11,435 117.5 (115.4 - 119.7) 1,727 17.7 (16.9 - 18.6)
3 10,244 89.0 (87.3 - 90.7) 1,544 13.4 (12.7 - 14.0)
4 9,448 76.1 (74.5 - 77.6) 1,399 11.2 (10.6 - 11.8)
5 8,341 64.6 (63.2 - 66.0) 1,267 9.7 (9.2 - 10.3)

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 4.a. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted annualised mortality rate** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by IMD quintile, 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 4.b. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted annualised mortality rate** (per 100,000) population in cases of COVID-19 by IMD quintile, January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 January to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Regional breakdown

Since 1 February 2021, the annualised mortality rate was highest in the North West (120.7 per 100,000 population per year), followed by the West Midlands (111.8 per 100,000 population).

The lowest mortality rate was seen in the South West (62.5 per 100,000 population per year). In January 2022, the highest annualised mortality rate was seen in London (19.8 per 100,000 population per year).

Table 6. Number of deaths and age-adjusted annualised mortality rate** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19, by UKHSA centre†

UKHSA centre Deaths (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*) Deaths (January 2022) Age-adjusted mortality rate** (95% CI) (January 2022)
East Midlands 5,233 107.0 (104.1 - 109.9) 724 14.8 (13.7 - 15.9)
East of England 6,206 91.0 (88.8 - 93.3) 883 12.9 (12.1 - 13.8)
London 6,455 105.7 (103.1 - 108.3) 1,198 19.8 (18.6 - 20.9)
North East 3,056 111.0 (107.1 - 115.0) 506 18.3 (16.7 - 20.0)
North West 8,665 120.7 (118.2 - 123.3) 1,419 19.7 (18.7 - 20.8)
South East 6,958 73.4 (71.7 - 75.2) 945 10.0 (9.3 - 10.6)
South West 4,136 62.5 (60.6 - 64.5) 568 8.6 (7.9 - 9.3)
West Midlands 6,525 111.8 (109.1 - 114.5) 893 15.2 (14.2 - 16.2)
Yorkshire and Humber 5,723 105.6 (102.8 - 108.3) 860 15.8 (14.8 - 16.9)

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 5.a. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by UKHSA centre, 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 5.b. Seven-day rolling average age-adjusted annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in positive cases of COVID-19 by UKHSA centre, January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 January 2022 to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 6.a. Age-adjusted annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in cases of COVID-19 by upper-tier local authority, 1 February 2021 to 31 January 2022*†

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figure 6.b. Age-adjusted annualised mortality rates** (per 100,000 population) in positive cases of COVID-19, by upper-tier local authority, January 2022*†

*Data is presented from 1 January to 31 January 2022.

**Rates are annualised and expressed as the number of deaths per 100,000 population per year.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test or where COVID-19 is mentioned on the death certificate.

Figures 6a and 6b:

  • contain Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2020
  • contain National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2020

Case fatality risk

Case fatality risk (CFR) describes the risk of death following a positive COVID-19 specimen. For this report, CFR has been calculated within 60 days of an individual’s first positive specimen (from PCR, LAMP, and LFD tests) CFR is reported on data from 1 February 2021 up to and including 10 December 2021.

Cases diagnosed in the last 60 days were excluded from this analysis, due to incomplete follow-up period. Deaths are excluded from the CFR calculation if they cannot be linked to COVID-19 case data.

CFR is sensitive to:

  • changes in testing coverage and detection rate of COVID-19 infections (Dudel and others, 2020; Wu and others, 2020; Harman and others, 2021)
  • changes in the demographics of the infected population
  • changes in the effectiveness of treatment and the health system’s ability to care for severe COVID-19 cases

Table 7. Number of COVID-19 cases, deaths and case fatality risk in positive cases of COVID-19, 1 February 2021 to 10 December 2021 *†

Cases Deaths† Case Fatality Risk (%)
1 February 2021 to 10 December 2021 5,961,730 28,803 0.5
10 November 2021 to 10 December 2021 1,201,209 3,572 0.3

*Figures differ from Table 1 based on CFR calculation inclusion criteria.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Figure 7. Number of cases, deaths and case fatality risk in cases of COVID-19, 1 February 2021 to 10 December 2021*†

Note: The time period presented covers a period where testing coverage and testing modes have changed significantly, therefore apparent changes in estimated case fatality should be interpreted with caution.

Numbers of cases and deaths are stacked by week. Cases are presented by week of specimen date. Deaths are presented by week of death.

*Data presented from 1 February 2021 to 10 December 2021, the last full week of full data available.

†Deaths within 60 days of a positive COVID-19 test and linked to the confirmed COVID-19 case data.

Report prepared by UKHSA COVID-19 Epidemiology Cell