Research and analysis

EMRG: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 1 September 2021

Consensus statement from the Epidemiology Modelling Review Group (EMRG) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

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EMRG: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 1 September 2021

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Consensus statement from Epidemiology Modelling Review Group (EMRG) at the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 95 on 9 September 2021. Consensus statements are an assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE and the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) updates its advice accordingly.

These consensus statements on coronavirus (COVID-19) are shared with acknowledgment to SPI-M-O, who have developed and shared modelling methodologies and contribute model outputs to these combined estimates.

These papers contain estimates of the reproduction number (R) and growth rate. See the latest R value and growth rates, and background information. The devolved administrations publish estimates for their own nations.

Find previous EMRG consensus statements on the UKHSA pages.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Updates to this page

Published 14 September 2021

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