Research and analysis

Estimated impact of testing quarantined contacts at different points in time, 30 April 2020

Paper prepared by the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 19 June 2020

Documents

Estimated impact of testing quarantined contacts at different points in time - 30 April 2020

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Details

Paper by LSHTM on the estimated impact of testing quarantined contacts at different points in time. This paper was available for participants to read at SAGE 32 on 1 May 2020, but not considered or discussed in the meeting.

These results should not be interpreted as a forecast, but rather illustrative outputs under a set of assumptions to inform wider discussion. These modelling outputs are subject to uncertainty given the evidence available at the time, and dependent on the assumptions made.

It should be viewed in context: the paper was the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. The picture is developing rapidly and, as new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded and the author’s opinion or conclusion may since have developed.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 19 June 2020