Research and analysis

National Minimum Wage evaluation: counterfactual research

Research exploring what the wages of those affected by the national minimum wage would be if the annual uprating had not taken place.

• From: Department for Business and Trade and Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy
• Published: 5 February 2018

Documents

National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage impact assessment: counterfactual research

PDF, 1.13 MB, 98 pages

Details

This report by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) reviews the methodology used for estimating the cost to business of upratings to the National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage rates. It focuses on the ‘counterfactual’ - what the wages of those affected by the NMW and NLW would be if the annual uprating had not taken place - which underpins the costs estimate.

The counterfactual recommended in this report was used in the impact assessment for the April 2018 rates.

Published 5 February 2018