Research and analysis

Predicting the demand for cycling

Reviews the creation of a national online tool to predict cycling levels in local authority areas.

• From: Department for Transport
• Published: 27 March 2016

Documents

National propensity to cycle: executive summary

PDF, 2.01 MB, 40 pages

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National propensity to cycle: full report with annexes

PDF, 14.2 MB, 453 pages

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Details

First phase of the development of a national propensity to cycle tool to predict the demand for cycling in local authority areas.

This report reviews:

• how gender and age affect the preference for cycling infrastructure being separated from traffic
• how cycling levels may differs among different economic groups, due to infrastructure quality

The tool can predict cycling flows rates in numerous scenarios including:

• doubling the amount of cycling
• more e-bikes
• women and men being equally likely to cycle
• if people were as likely to choose to cycle as they are in the Netherlands

Published 27 March 2016