ONS/DHSC: Estimating additional deaths to expand the reasonable worst-case scenario, 3 June 2020
Paper prepared by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC).
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Paper by ONS/DHSC on additional deaths to expand the reasonable worst-case scenario (RWCS). It was considered at SAGE 40 on 4 June 2020.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
SAGE provides scientific advice to government. It does not make decisions on what scenario government should be planning for. Please note that the reasonable worst-case scenario to which this paper refers was not used for planning across government by the Cabinet Office Civil Contingencies Secretariat.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.