Research and analysis

Predicting predictability

Research investigating question paper predictability and the factors that influence this through a question prediction exercise.

• From: Ofqual
• Published: 3 December 2020

Applies to England

Documents

Predicting predictability: Investigating question paper predictability and the factors that influence this through a question prediction exercise

Ref: Ofqual/20/6714/1

PDF, 3.09 MB, 82 pages

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Predicting predictability: A briefing paper

Ref: Ofqual/20/6714/2

PDF, 206 KB, 7 pages

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Details

This research looks at the predictability of school examinations and the distinction between ‘good’ and ‘bad’ predictability in this context.

These documents look at the potential impact on students of making changes to examination papers for summer 2021. It looks at many considerations, including the extent of teacher and student familiarity with the format of examinations.

Published 3 December 2020