SPI-M-O: Combining COVID-19 short-term forecasts, 9 April 2020
Paper on proposed methodologies for combining short-term forecasts.
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This was considered at SAGE 24 on 9 April 2020.
Separate forecasts are produced using different models and approaches by the modelling groups represented at SPI-M-O. These individual forecasts are then combined to form a consensus forecast which is subsequently shared with the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).