Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 5 May 2021

Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 21 May 2021

Documents

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 5 May 2021

PDF, 826 KB, 10 pages

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Details

Consensus statement from SPI-M-O on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 88 on 5 May 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper contains estimates of the reproduction number (R) and growth rate. See the latest R value and growth rates, and further background. The devolved administrations publish estimates for their own nations.

This paper also contains past medium-term scenarios from 31 March 2021. These are not forecasts or predictions, but were illustrative scenarios exploring the potential impact of the relaxation of restrictions on 29 March 2021 in England.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 21 May 2021