SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 6 January 2022
Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).
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Consensus statement from SPI-M-O on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 102 on 7 January 2022.
This paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
This paper should be read alongside the accompanying papers from SAGE 102:
- UKHSA: Omicron and Delta serial interval distributions from UK contact tracing data, 31 December 2021
- UKHSA: The spread of Omicron and replacement of Delta in the UK, 5 January 2022
- University of Warwick: Omicron modelling, 6 January 2022
See more information on:
- what epidemiological modelling is and how it is used by government
- epidemiological modelling frequency asked questions
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.