SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 8 April 2021
Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).
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Consensus statement SPI-M-O on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 86 on 8 April 2021.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
The following supporting papers are also released under SAGE 86:
- COVID-19 reckoners with vaccination – update
- Ready reckoners under vaccination based on POLYMOD contact surveys
This paper contains estimates of the reproduction number (R) and growth rate. See the latest R value and growth rates, and further background. The devolved administrations publish estimates for their own nations.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.