Research and analysis

UK aviation forecasts 2017

2017 forecast of UK air passenger demand and aviation carbon dioxide emissions to 2050.

• From: Department for Transport
• Published: 24 October 2017
• Last updated: 25 January 2018 — See all updates

Documents

UK aviation forecasts 2017

PDF, 22.8 MB, 149 pages

UK aviation forecasts 2017 data

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 227 KB

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UK aviation forecasts 2017 disaggregated data

ZIP, 10.6 MB

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UK aviation forecasts 2017: passenger demand and air transport movements data for each modelled airport

ZIP, 224 KB

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Details

A 2017 update to the Department for Transport’s aviation demand forecasts. It sets out the updates and developments made to the model and the resulting forecasts of air passenger demand and aviation carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions out to 2050. The primary purpose of these forecasts is to inform long-term strategic aviation policy.

The 2017 UK forecast updates the Department for Transport’s 2013 UK aviation forecasts.

The passenger demand and air transport movements (ATMs) data provides further detailed information to complement that already presented in the aviation forecasts 2017 report. It contains data for each modelled airport for every year of our model (2016 to 2050). This data must not be used unless the explanatory note in the ZIP file has been read first.

Published 24 October 2017
Last updated 25 January 2018 + show all updates

1. 25 January 2018

   Figure 4.5 and associated commentary in the 'UK aviation forecasts 2017' guidance document corrected.

2. 8 January 2018

   Headings in table 72 and 73 of the 'UK aviation forecasts' PDF and data spreadsheet corrected to read as distance flown in million kilometres.

3. 19 December 2017

   'UK aviation forecasts 2017: passenger demand and air transport movements data for each modelled airport' published

4. 24 October 2017

   First published.