University of Warwick: Road Map Scenarios and Sensitivity, 29 March 2021
Paper prepared by University of Warwick on Step 2 of the roadmap.
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Paper from the University of Warwick summarising further modelling on easing restrictions for England (Roadmap Step 2). It was considered at SAGE 85 on 31 March 2021.
This paper should be read alongside the accompanying papers from SAGE 85:
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SPI-M-O: Summary of further modelling of easing restrictions–Roadmap Step 2, 31 March 2021
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Imperial College London: Evaluating England’s Roadmap out of Lockdown, 30 March 2021
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LSHTM: Interim roadmap assessment: prior to Step 2, 31 March 2021
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.