Research and analysis

University of Warwick: Road map scenarios and sensitivity – Step 4, 9 June 2021

Paper prepared by University of Warwick on Step 4 of the roadmap.

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 14 June 2021

Documents

Warwick: Road map scenarios and sensitivity – Step 4, 9 June 2021

PDF, 6.7 MB, 30 pages

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Details

Paper from the University of Warwick summarising further modelling on easing restrictions for England (Step 4). It was considered at SAGE 92 on 9 June 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read alongside the accompanying papers from SAGE 92:

• SPI-M-O: Summary of further modelling of easing restrictions – roadmap Step 4, 9 June 2021
• LSHTM: Interim roadmap assessment – prior to Step 4, 9 June 2021
• Imperial College London: Evaluating the roadmap out of lockdown – modelling Step 4 of the roadmap in the context of Delta variant (B.1.617.2), 9 June 2021

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 14 June 2021