Accredited official statistics

Prison population projections: 2022 to 2027

Five year projections for the prison population in England and Wales.

• From: Ministry of Justice
• Published: 23 February 2023

Applies to England and Wales

Documents

Prison population projections: 2022 to 2027

PDF, 674 KB, 25 pages

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Prison population projections 2022 to 2027: pre-release list

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Prison population projections 2022 to 2027: statistical tables

ODS, 172 KB

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Details

The latest National Statistics on prison population projections in England and Wales.

This annual release presents prison population projections for England and Wales from November 2022 to March 2027. It is produced to aid policy development, capacity planning and resource allocation within the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and His Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS). Sub-population estimates are presented alongside the effects of legislation, sentencing activity, and other factors relevant to the prison population.

The publication is released by the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.

If you have any comments on the methods used for prison projections, please contact us: ESD@justice.gov.uk.

Published 23 February 2023