Accredited official statistics

UK House Price Index Wales: October 2023

Published 20 December 2023

1. Headline statistics for October 2023

The average price of a property in Wales was £214,100

The annual price change of a property for Wales was -3.0%

The monthly price change of a property for Wales was -0.5%

The index figure for Wales (January 2015 = 100) was 157.3

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read the revision policies.

Next publication of UK HPI

The November 2023 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 17 January 2023. See the calendar of release dates for more information.

2. Economic statement

Average house prices in Wales decreased by 3.0% (provisional estimate) in the 12 months to October 2023. This was down from a decrease of 2.6% (revised estimate) in the 12 months to September 2023 and was slower than the average UK house price annual inflation of negative 1.2% (provisional estimate) in the 12 months to October 2023.

On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in Wales decreased by 0.5% between September 2023 and October 2023, compared with an average house price annual inflation of 0.0% during the same period 12 months ago. On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in Wales decreased by 0.5% between September 2023 and October 2023.

Comparing the provisional UK HPI volume estimate for August 2022 with the provisional UK HPI estimate for August 2023, the volume of transactions decreased by 14.7% in Wales and decreased by 16.2% in the UK.

In Wales, 8 of the 22 local authority areas showed an increase in average house prices in the 12 months to October 2023. Vale of Glamorgan showed the highest annual percentage change, rising by 3.1% to £319,000 in the 12 months to October 2023. In contrast, Merthyr Tydfil showed the lowest annual percentage change, decreasing by 10.9% to £137,000 in the 12 months to October 2023.

In Wales, detached showed the highest annual inflation out of all property types, falling by 2.5% in the 12 months to October 2023 to £329,000. Terraced houses showed the lowest annual inflation, falling by 3.6% in the 12 months to October 2023, to an average price of £166,000.

As with other indicators in the housing market, which typically fluctuate from month to month, it is important not to put too much weight on one month’s set of house price data.

3. Price change

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for Wales over the past 5 years

In Wales, the average price decreased by 3.0% in the 12 months to October 2023 (provisional estimate), down from a decrease of 2.6% in the 12 months to September 2023 (revised estimate).

Annual price change by local authority for Wales

Low numbers of sales transactions in some local authorities can lead to volatility in the series.

While we make efforts to account for this volatility, the change in price in these local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties sold in any given period.

Geographies with low number of sales transactions should be analysed in the context of their longer-term trends rather than focusing on monthly movements.

Local authorities October 2023 October 2022 Difference
Blaenau Gwent £130,122 £134,129 -3.0%
Bridgend £202,226 £215,408 -6.1%
Caerphilly £189,718 £188,822 0.5%
Cardiff £267,605 £263,919 1.4%
Carmarthenshire £200,442 £210,078 -4.6%
Ceredigion £257,804 £258,202 -0.2%
Conwy £218,272 £219,442 -0.5%
Denbighshire £197,626 £207,552 -4.8%
Flintshire £216,330 £216,126 0.1%
Gwynedd £218,316 £212,647 2.7%
Isle of Anglesey £244,416 £240,632 1.6%
Merthyr Tydfil £136,670 £153,329 -10.9%
Monmouthshire £345,521 £351,769 -1.8%
Neath Port Talbot £160,439 £167,113 -4.0%
Newport £234,723 £234,169 0.2%
Pembrokeshire £246,869 £246,295 0.2%
Powys £248,483 £262,490 -5.3%
Rhondda Cynon Taf £156,462 £160,807 -2.7%
Swansea £192,676 £197,639 -2.5%
Torfaen £187,380 £198,458 -5.6%
Vale of Glamorgan £319,490 £309,769 3.1%
Wrexham £198,524 £210,365 -5.6%
Wales £214,100 £220,775 -3.0%

Average price by local authority for Wales

IIn October 2023, the most expensive area to purchase a property was Monmouthshire, where the average cost was £346,000. In contrast, the cheapest area to purchase a property was Blaenau Gwent, where the average cost was £130,000.

3.2 Average price change by property type

Average price change by property type for Wales

Property type October 2023 October 2022 Difference
Detached £329,173 £337,658 -2.5%
Semi-detached £208,759 £214,573 -2.7%
Terraced £166,476 £172,714 -3.6%
Flat or maisonette £133,595 £137,812 -3.1%
All £214,100 £220,775 -3.0%

4. Sales volumes

The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent 2 months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes by local authority

Sales volumes for Wales by local authority

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for the current month with the revised volume estimate for the corresponding month in the previous year

Local authorities August 2023 August 2022
Blaenau Gwent 47 84
Bridgend 121 207
Caerphilly 128 199
Cardiff 261 429
Carmarthenshire 157 244
Ceredigion 68 78
Conwy 124 157
Denbighshire 89 131
Flintshire 120 205
Gwynedd 110 135
Isle of Anglesey 61 60
Merthyr Tydfil 41 60
Monmouthshire 64 110
Neath Port Talbot 126 170
Newport 135 204
Pembrokeshire 98 164
Powys 119 162
Rhondda Cynon Taf 183 313
Swansea 212 302
Torfaen 63 109
Vale of Glamorgan 106 205
Wrexham 93 139
Wales 2,526 3,867

Note: The ‘Difference’ column has been removed from this table as the latest month’s data are not yet complete.

Note: The number of property transactions for August 2023 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index. See our Revisions Policy for more information.

Comparing the provisional UK HPI volume estimate for August 2022 with the provisional UK HPI estimate for August 2023, volume transactions decreased by 14.7% in Wales.

UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period) report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, HMRC volume transactions decreased by 17.4% in Wales in the 12 months to August 2023.

4.2 Sales volumes

Sales volumes for Wales over the past 5 years

Date Sales volumes for Wales
August 2019 4,546
August 2020 2,525
August 2021 3,832
August 2022 3,867
August 2023 2,526

5. Property status

Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent 2 months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.

New build and existing resold property for Wales

Property status Average price August 2023 Monthly change Annual change
New build £348,932 9.8% 21.7%
Existing resold property £210,968 0.4% -0.6%

Note: Since the October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status

First time buyer and former owner occupier for Wales

Type of buyer Average price October 2023 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £184,123 -0.4% -3.3%
Former owner occupier £249,525 -0.5% -2.8%

7. Funding status

Cash and mortgage indicator for Wales

Funding status Average price October 2023 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £207,084 -0.2% -3.1%
Mortgage £218,177 -0.6% -3.0%

8. Repossession sales volume

Due to a period of 2 weeks to 2 months between completion and registration of sales, repossession volume figures for the most recent 2 months are not yet complete, so they are not included in the report.

Repossession sales volume

Country Repossession sales volume August 2023
Wales 7

9. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

10. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

11. Contact for Wales queries

Eileen Morrison, Data Services Team Leader, HM Land Registry

Email eileen.morrison@landregistry.gov.uk

Telephone 0300 006 5288