Avoiding the water-poverty trap: insights from a conceptual human-water dynamical model for coastal Bangladesh

This model tests the effect of improvements in the reliability and operation of the water infrastructure on agricultural incomes and assets

Abstract

Water-related risks impact development opportunities and can trap communities in a downward spiral of economic decline. In this article, the dynamic relationship between water-related risks and economic outcomes for an embanked area in coastal Bangladesh is conceptualized. The interaction between flood events, salinity, deteriorating and poorly maintained water infrastructure, agricultural production and income is modelled. The model is used to test the effect of improvements in the reliability, operation and maintenance of the water infrastructure on agricultural incomes and assets. Results indicate that interventions can have non-marginal impacts on indicators of welfare, switching the system dynamic from a poverty trap into one of growth.

This study was supported by REACH Improving Water Security for the Poor programme which is funded by the UK Department for International Development.

Citation

Edoardo Borgomeo, Jim W. Hall and Mashfiqus Salehin (2017). Avoiding the water-poverty trap: insights from a conceptual human-water dynamical model for coastal Bangladesh. International Journal of Water Resources Development, DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2017.1331842

Avoiding the water-poverty trap: insights from a conceptual human-water dynamical model for coastal

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Published 1 June 2017