Two-level game or the primacy of domestic politics? Ethiopia’s regional foreign policy after 2018

Emphasises need for policymakers analysing foreign policy in fragile nations to examine foreign policy’s role in domestic politics.

Abstract

Since 2018, Ethiopia’s foreign policy changes have been associated with positive outcomes, such as improved regional peace, economic growth in the Horn of Africa, and Eritrea’s democratization. However, this paper argues that these conclusions were influenced by policymakers’ biases and assumptions about foreign policy.

Ethiopia’s foreign policy shift under Abiy Ahmed has focused on consolidating domestic power through a deeply personalized and de-institutionalized approach to foreign affairs. While there are cosmetic similarities with the past, the substance of foreign policies differs significantly. The paper emphasizes the need for policymakers analysing foreign policy in fragile nations to examine foreign policy’s role in domestic politics.

This paper is an output of the Peace and Conflict Resolution Evidence Platform (PEACEREP) programme.

Citation

Sarkar, A. Two-Level Game or the Primacy of Domestic Politics? Ethiopia’s Regional Foreign Policy after 2018 (Working Paper). PeaceRep: The Peace and Conflict Resolution Evidence Platform, University of Edinburgh, 2023

Two-level game or the primacy of domestic politics? Ethiopia’s regional foreign policy after 2018

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Published 23 September 2023