Research and analysis

Optimising trigger times for social distancing measures (SDMs), 4 March 2020

Paper prepared by the University of Edinburgh on optimising trigger times for social distancing measures.

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 12 June 2020

Documents

Optimising trigger times for social distancing measures (SDMs) - 4 March 2020

PDF, 215 KB, 3 pages

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Details

Paper on optimising trigger times for social distancing measures.

The paper was considered at SAGE 13 on 5 March 2020. This is 1 of 3 SPI-M papers tabled to SAGE 13 on timing of interventions.

These results should not be interpreted as a forecast, but rather illustrative outputs under a set of assumptions to inform wider discussion. These modelling outputs are subject to uncertainty given the evidence available at the time, and dependent on the assumptions made.

It should be viewed in context: the paper was the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. The picture is developing rapidly and, as new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly. Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded and the author’s opinion or conclusion may since have developed.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 12 June 2020