Research and analysis

Rail Demand Forecasting Estimation study: phase reports

Review of the rail demand forecasting methods used by government, the study was completed in 2 phases.

• From: Department for Transport
• Published: 21 April 2017
• Last updated: 30 April 2018 — See all updates

Documents

Rail Demand Forecasting Estimation study: phase 1

PDF, 752 KB, 70 pages

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Rail Demand Forecasting Estimation study: phase 2

PDF, 5.3 MB, 158 pages

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Details

Review of the current methods used by government for forecasting rail demand. The review was completed in 2 phases.

The review suggests a new:

• forecasting methodology
• set of recommended forecasting parameters

The recommendations of this report will be included in the ‘TAG Unit M4 Forecasting and Uncertainty’ transport guidance.

Published 21 April 2017

Last updated 30 April 2018 + show all updates

1. 30 April 2018

   Decision about report recommendations being included in May 2018 version of government transport analysis guidance.

2. 21 April 2017

   First published.