Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 24 March 2021

Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 9 April 2021

Documents

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 24 March 2021

PDF, 683 KB, 9 pages

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Details

Consensus statement from SPI-M-O on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 84 on 25 March 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper contains estimates of the reproduction number (R) and growth rate. See the latest R value and growth rates for England and NHS England regions. The devolved administrations publish estimates for their own nations.

This paper also contains medium-term scenarios. These are not forecasts or predictions, but illustrative scenarios exploring the potential impact of the relaxation of restrictions on 29 March 2021 in England.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 9 April 2021