Strategies for long-term management of COVID-19 transmission, 21 April 2020
Paper prepared by Imperial College London.
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Paper by Imperial College London on strategies for long-term management of COVID-19 transmission. It was considered at SAGE 27 on 21 April 2020.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
This is one of 2 modelling papers on contact tracing informing the ‘SPI-M: Consensus statement on COVID-19’, as published under SAGE 27 and should be read in that context alongside the other documents for SAGE 27. The SPI-M-O consensus view summarises the main insights across the available evidence and modelling at the time.
These results should not be interpreted as a forecast, but rather illustrative outputs under a set of assumptions to inform wider discussion. These modelling outputs are subject to uncertainty given the evidence available at the time, and dependent on the assumptions made.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions within this document have been made to remove any personal details and security markings.
Read ‘SPI-M: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 20 April 2020’.