National road traffic projections
Report and data for the Department for Transport's national road traffic projections 2022.
Applies to England and Wales
Documents
Details
2022 report presenting the Department for Transport’s updated strategic view of future road travel demand. Including long term projection data of road traffic, congestion and emissions in England and Wales from 2025 to 2060.
Forecasts are produced using the National Transport Model (NTM), incorporating economic and demographic data and evidence on travel behaviour and the factors influencing it.
A number of plausible scenarios are used to reflect the uncertainty in the factors affecting road traffic demand. These scenarios have been updated since the Road Traffic Forecasts 2018 publication. These scenarios are described in TAG Uncertainty Toolkit.
National traffic and congestion are forecast to increase in all scenarios, but the size of that growth varies depending on the assumptions made about factors influencing future road demand.
This publication follows a substantial update to our modelling suite. The report details this and an overview of the approach to forecasting and the modelling suite.
Data tables
Alongside the reports, we have published the data that is contained in them. This is available in 2 formats:
- a filterable ODS file to make it easier to view specific data
- a machine readable CSV file
Road traffic forecasts were previously produced in 2018 and replaced transport forecasts in 2015, 2013 and 2011.