SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling considerations for the reimposition of measures, 13 October 2021
Paper prepared by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).
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Paper from SPI-M-O on modelling considerations for the reimposition of measures. It was considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
This paper should be read alongside the accompanying modelling papers from SAGE 96:
- SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling for scenarios for COVID-19 autumn and winter 2021 to 2022
- Imperial College London: autumn and winter 2021 to 2022 – potential COVID-19 epidemic trajectories - Part 2, 13 October 2021
- University of Warwick: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022 – exploration of control, 12 October 2021
- LSHTM: Autumn and winter scenarios 2021 to 2022 contingency measures, 13 October 2021
- JUNIPER: Control Options for Mitigating a Rapid Rise in Infection, 12 October 2021
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.
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