Research and analysis

University of Warwick: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022, 12 October 2021

Papers prepared by University of Warwick.

Documents

University of Warwick: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022 – the action of waning efficacy and boosters, 12 October 2021

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University of Warwick: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022 – exploration of control, 12 October 2021

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If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email contact@go-science.gov.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

Details

Papers from the University of Warwick summarising modelling on scenarios for COVID-19 over Autumn and Winter. They were considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021.

Theses paper are an assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

The first paper should be read alongside the accompanying modelling papers from SAGE 96:

The second paper on exploration of control measures, should be read in conjunction with the first paper and the summary paper from SAGE 96:

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Updates to this page

Published 22 October 2021
Last updated 29 October 2021 + show all updates
  1. Added extra paper: Projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022 – exploration of control, 12 October 2021.

  2. First published.

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