Research and analysis

Updated energy and emissions projections: 2019

Projections of greenhouse gas emissions and energy demand from 2019 to 2040.

From:
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero and Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy
Published
30 October 2020
Last updated
23 December 2020 — See all updates

Documents

Updated energy and emissions projections 2019

PDF, 1.8 MB, 39 pages

Annex A: Greenhouse gas emissions by source

ODS, 281 KB

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Annex B: Carbon dioxide emissions by source

ODS, 182 KB

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Annex C: Carbon dioxide emissions by IPCC category

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Annex D: Policy savings in the projections (revised December 2020)

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Annex E: Primary energy demand

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Annex F: Final energy demand

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Annex G: Major power producers' generation by source

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Annex H: Major power producers' cumulative new electricity generating capacity

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Annex I: Major power producers' total electricity generating capacity

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Annex J: Total electricity generation by source

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Annex K: Total cumulative new electricity generating capacity

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Annex L: Total electricity generating capacity

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Annex M: Growth assumptions and prices

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Annex N: Projected emissions of non-CO2 greenhouse gases 2019

PDF, 277 KB, 24 pages

Annex O: Net Zero and the power sector scenarios

PDF, 272 KB, 10 pages

Annex O supplementary data: Major power producers' generation by source (Net Zero scenarios in Annex G format)

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Annex O supplementary data: Major power producers' cumulative new electricity generating capacity (Net Zero scenarios in Annex H format)

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Annex O supplementary data: Major power producers' total electricity generating capacity (Net Zero scenarios in Annex I format)

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Annex O supplementary data: Total electricity generation by source (Net Zero scenarios in Annex J format)

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Annex O supplementary data: Total cumulative new electricity generating capacity (Net Zero scenarios in Annex K format)

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Annex O supplementary data: Total electricity generating capacity (Net Zero scenarios in Annex L format)

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Web tables

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Web figures

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Methodology summary (version published April 2019 with EEP2018)

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/794741/energy-emissions-projections-methodology-overview.pdf

Details

The report contains projections of UK performance against national greenhouse gas targets under existing policies. It includes projections of the demand for each type of fuel in different sectors of the economy. The publication discusses the projected demand for electricity and indicates what mix of generation will meet it.

December 2020 update

  • annex O: Net Zero and the power sector scenarios added, with accompanying data
  • annex D updated: changes noted in spreadsheet

All enquiries about the projections should be sent to: emissionsprojections@energysecurity.gov.uk

Please note that we are unable to provide any breakdown of projected renewable electricity generation, capacity or new build by technology.

Updates to this page

Published 30 October 2020
Last updated 23 December 2020 + show all updates

  1. Annex O: Net Zero and the power sector scenarios added, with accompanying data. Annex D updated: changes noted in spreadsheet.

  2. First published.

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