Collection

Energy and emissions projections

This series brings together all documents relating to energy and emissions projections.

• From: Department for Energy Security and Net Zero
• Published: 17 September 2013
• Last updated: 17 December 2024 — See all updates

Each year the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) publishes updated energy and emissions projections (EEPs), analysing and projecting future energy use and greenhouse gas emissions in the UK. These projections allow us to monitor progress towards meeting the UK’s carbon budgets and are used to inform energy policy and associated analytical work across government departments.

The projections are based on assumptions of future economic growth, fossil fuel prices, electricity generation costs, UK population and other key variables regularly updated. They also give an indication of the impact of the uncertainty around some of these input assumptions.

Each set of projections takes account of climate change policies where funding has been agreed and where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of policy impacts to be made.

Updated energy and emissions projections

Annual projections of greenhouse gas emissions and energy demand.

View previous projections and associated work on the National Archives website.

• Energy and emissions projections: 2023 to 2050
  • 17 December 2024
  • Research and analysis
• Energy and emissions projections: 2022 to 2040
  • 30 November 2023
  • Research and analysis
• Energy and emissions projections: 2021 to 2040
  • 17 May 2023
  • Research and analysis
• Energy and emissions projections: Net Zero Strategy baseline (partial interim update December 2021)
  • 7 March 2022
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2019
  • 23 December 2020
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2018
  • 16 May 2019
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2017
  • 11 April 2019
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2016
  • 15 March 2017
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2015
  • 18 February 2016
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2014
  • 29 October 2014
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2013
  • 17 September 2013
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2012
  • 15 October 2012
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2011
  • 14 October 2011
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2010
  • 9 June 2010
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2009
  • 22 April 2009
  • Research and analysis
• Updated energy and emissions projections: 2008
  • 12 November 2008
  • Research and analysis

Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections

Latest projections of non-CO2 greenhouse gases out to 2035.

If you are a specific user of the non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections could you please contact the following address with details of your requirements climatechange.statistics@beis.gov.uk.

• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: summer 2015
  • 14 August 2015
  • Statistical data set
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: summer 2014
  • 31 July 2014
  • Official Statistics
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Autumn 2013
  • 13 September 2013
  • Official Statistics
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Spring 2013
  • 15 March 2013
  • Official Statistics
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Autumn 2012
  • 14 September 2012
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: spring 2012
  • 15 May 2012
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: autumn 2011
  • 15 September 2011
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: March 2011
  • 15 March 2011
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: November 2010
  • 12 November 2010
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: June 2010
  • 18 June 2010
  • Research and analysis
• Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report for the UK Low Carbon Transition Plan: July 2009
  • 15 July 2009
  • Research and analysis

Other documents

• Dynamic Dispatch Model (DDM) - May 2012
  • 25 September 2014
  • Research and analysis

Published 17 September 2013
Last updated 17 December 2024 + show all updates

1. 17 December 2024

   Added Energy and emissions projections: 2023 to 2050.

2. 26 October 2023

   Added Energy and emissions projections: 2022 to 2040.

3. 18 October 2022

   Energy and Emissions Projections 2021 to 2040 added.

4. 7 December 2021

   Energy and emissions projections: Net Zero Strategy baseline (partial interim update December 2021) added.

5. 30 October 2020

   Updated energy and emissions projections 2019 added.

6. 11 April 2019

   Updated energy and emissions projections: 2018 added.

7. 2 January 2018

   Latest Energy and Emissions Projections 2017 published.

8. 15 March 2017

   Latest Energy and Emissions Projections 2016 published

9. 18 November 2015

   Updated energy and emissions projections: 2015

10. 14 August 2015

    Updated summer 2015 stats published

11. 25 September 2014

    Updated energy and emissions projections 2014 published today.

12. 17 September 2013

    First published.